ECB rate hike

2023 - 3 - 16

ECB

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Image courtesy of "RTE.ie"

ECB increases euro zone interest rates again today (RTE.ie)

The European Central Bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points today as promised, ignoring financial market chaos and calls by investors to dial back ...

We have no plans at the moment to reintroduce mortgage interest relief. The ECB today predicted GPD growth of 1% for 2023, up from its prediction of 0.5% in December. Meanwhile, inflation for this year is predicted to come in at 5.3%, lower than its earlier forecast of 6.3%. Please review their details and accept them to load the content. "It is independent, it makes its decisions without approval from EU governments. That caused a domestic financial crisis for 2008. But one thing I would say, certainly to the banks, is that they can't have it both ways." We don't have that worry now." I do understand why they're doing it. "We do not anticipate any direct impacts but of course we are part of an integrated financial system and that is why it makes it all the more important that we continue to monitor developments closely and that is why the Financial Stability Group will continue to meet on an on-going basis and report to me as Minister." "The Governing Council is monitoring current market tensions closely and stands ready to respond as necessary to preserve price stability and financial stability in the euro area," the ECB said. That left the ECB in a dilemma, pitting its inflation-fighting mandate against the need to maintain financial stability in the face of overwhelmingly imported turmoil.

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Image courtesy of "European Central Bank"

Monetary policy decisions (European Central Bank)

Inflation is projected to remain too high for too long. Therefore, the Governing Council today decided to increase the three key ECB interest rates by 50 basis ...

The Governing Council stands ready to adjust all of its instruments within its mandate to ensure that inflation returns to its 2% target over the medium term and to preserve the smooth functioning of monetary policy transmission. In any case, the future roll-off of the PEPP portfolio will be managed to avoid interference with the appropriate monetary policy stance. The elevated level of uncertainty reinforces the importance of a data-dependent approach to the Governing Council’s policy rate decisions, which will be determined by its assessment of the inflation outlook in light of the incoming economic and financial data, the dynamics of underlying inflation, and the strength of monetary policy transmission. The decline will amount to €15 billion per month on average until the end of June 2023 and its subsequent pace will be determined over time. The Governing Council decided to raise the three key ECB interest rates by 50 basis points. The Governing Council is monitoring current market tensions closely and stands ready to respond as necessary to preserve price stability and financial stability in the euro area.

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Image courtesy of "CNBC"

European Central Bank hikes rates despite market mayhem ... (CNBC)

Some market players questioned whether President Christine Lagarde would proceed with a hike, given recent shocks in the banking sector.

the banking sector is currently in a much, much stronger position," Lagarde said during a news conference. The euro area banking sector is resilient, with strong capital and liquidity positions," the central bank said in the same statement. An open question remains: how quickly will the ECB proceed with further rate hikes? [Credit Suisse](/quotes/CSG.N-CH/) shares tumbled by as much as 30% in Wednesday intraday trade, and the whole banking sector ended the Wednesday session down by about 7%. Goldman Sachs quickly adjusted its rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, due to meet next week — the bank now anticipates a 25 basis point increase, after previously forecasting a 50 basis point hike. It now sees headline inflation averaging 5.3% this year, followed by 2.9% in 2024. The event threw international subsidiaries of the bank into collapse and raised concerns about whether central banks are increasing rates at too aggressive of a pace. "Inflation is projected to remain too high for too long. The ECB on Thursday also revised its inflation expectations. Overall, there is less deposit concentration — "Added to which, if it was needed, we do have the tools, we do have the facilities that are available, and we also have a toolbox that also has other instruments that we always stand ready to activate, if and when needed," she added, reiterating that the central bank is ready to step in, if required. One basis point is equal to 0.01%.

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Image courtesy of "CNN"

European Central Bank sticks to its rate-hiking guns, says banks ... (CNN)

The European Central Bank (ECB) stuck with its plan to hike interest rates by half a percentage point Thursday, judging that inflation poses a bigger ...

A high level of uncertainty reinforces the importance of being guided by economic data in making policy decisions, Lagarde said. That would weigh on economic growth and inflation, reducing the need for rate hikes. The central bank has now hiked rates at six consecutive meetings since July in a bid to get inflation under control. And data Wednesday showed a stronger than expected increase in industrial production across the euro area. is more than twice the target,” said Sylvain Broyer, chief European economist at S&P Global Ratings. and in rather record time.” However, unlike after previous meetings, she did not signal further hikes to come, which suggests the central bank may now pause to take stock.

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Image courtesy of "Reuters"

ECB cuts through bank turmoil to keep rate hike pledge (Reuters)

The European Central Bank raised interest rates as promised by 50 basis points on Thursday, sticking with its fight against inflation and facing down calls ...

The euro and bond yields edged up after the move, with bank shares hitting two-month lows before partially recovering. ECB Vice-President Luis de Guindos said euro zone exposure to Credit Suisse was "quite limited" and Lagarde noted that in any case, the policy tools the ECB had at its disposal meant there was no trade-off between financial and price stability. That left the ECB in a dilemma, pitting its inflation-fighting mandate against the need to maintain financial stability in the face of overwhelmingly imported turmoil. The key worry for the ECB is that monetary policy works via the banking system, and a full blown financial crisis would make its policy ineffective. An ECB Governing Council statement said it was monitoring market tensions and would respond as necessary to preserve price stability and financial stability in the euro area. While it said it was too early to predict future rate moves, the ECB rejected suggestions that its campaign to tame inflation was a threat to financial stability, arguing that euro zone banks were resilient and that if anything, the move to higher rates should bolster their margins.

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Image courtesy of "Financial Times"

ECB increases rates by 0.5 percentage points (Financial Times)

We'll send you a myFT Daily Digest email rounding up the latest Eurozone interest rates news every morning. The European Central Bank has raised interest rates ...

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ECB Sticks to Rate Hike Plan Despite Banking Turmoil (Barron's)

The ECB is the first major central bank to make an interest-rate decision since the turmoil triggered by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.

ECB President Christine Lagarde and her colleagues lifted the main refinancing rate to 3.5% from the current 3%. It’s the second consecutive half-point move, and it’s what they said they intended to do at the ECB Sticks to Rate Hike Plan Despite Banking Turmoil

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Image courtesy of "Irish Examiner"

Lagarde defends hawkish ECB as analysts warn of 'more rate hikes ... (Irish Examiner)

The decision will automatically cost Irish households on tracker mortgages, and households refinance at higher rates at the expiry of their fixed-rate home ...

She insisted the ECB didn't see "any trade-off" between fighting inflation and nurturing financial stability. His estimates are based on a 30-year mortgage of €200,000. Economist Austin Hughes said the ECB was indicating that it would drive ahead, "but not as aggressive as it had previously threatened" in its battle to rein in inflation. Inflation is seen averaging 5.3% this year, 2.9% in 2024 and 2.1% in 2025, the ECB said, but again emphasising that these projections were finalised before the current turmoil. Some analysts had thought that the financial turmoil would give the ECB some room to pause, but Ms Lagarde appeared to double down, telling reporters in Frankfurt that "we have to do our job" to control inflation. Conall Mac Coille, chief economist at Davy, said that financial markets were unsure about the outlook for interest rates, but that the ECB has signalled there were more increases in the months ahead, as long as the current market turmoil subsides soon.

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Image courtesy of "The Irish Times"

Markets dial down expectations for further ECB hikes after half-point ... (The Irish Times)

Frankfurt's latest decision comes amid major market turbulence linked to overnight bailout of Swiss lender Credit Suisse.

While Irish banks have been increasing mortgage rates since the ECB started to hike official borrowing costs in July, they have lagged behind most euro zone banks because they had a higher starting point and domestic lenders have received a major income boost on their deposits. Investors now see the ECB’s deposit rate, which was lifted to 3 per cent on Thursday, peaking at 3.65 per cent in the short term, compared with an outlook last week of more than 4 per cent. The three remaining Irish banks had €67 billion of surplus money stored with the Central Bank as of the end of last year. This will feed into higher monthly repayments for mortgage holders, with the State’s 200,000 tracker mortgage holders expected to see an immediate jump in their costs. “There are about 315,000 borrowers, including tracker mortgage holders, on variable rates. The deposit rate is what the ECB pays to banks that hold money on deposit while the refinancing rate is what banks pay the ECB when they borrow from it.

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Image courtesy of "Associated Press"

Europe's central bank backs big rate hike despite bank chaos (Associated Press)

FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — The European Central Bank carried through with a large interest rate increase Thursday, brushing aside predictions it might dial ...

[higher energy prices tied to Russia’s war in Ukraine](/article/russia-ukraine-germany-prices-cca7e5afd38fbcfc1ad72934e8e59bd9). Its benchmarks affect the cost of credit across the economy, making more expensive to buy things or invest in new production. Analysts say the European banking system instituted wide-ranging safeguards after the global financial crisis that followed the collapse of U.S. As for more rate hikes in Europe, Lagarde said “inflation is projected to remain too high for too long” and that further increases will be based on what the numbers show. “If the panic eases, the ECB is likely to resume tightening before long” with more increases. going under](/article/silicon-valley-bank-uk-bailout-hsbc-sale-4d2da0e9c6f39c0fd8faf321a2b295cf) last week after suffering losses on government-backed bonds that fell in value due to rising interest rates.

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Image courtesy of "The Irish Times"

ECB rate hike raises costs for almost 250000 mortgage holders (The Irish Times)

Half-point interest rate rise will add €1000 a year on a €300000 mortgage, as Varadkar says banks 'cannot have it both ways' on rates.

However, many market-watchers are gaining a sense that the bank may soon hit pause as the inflation outlook becomes more benign and if the banking turmoil is contained. The outstanding sum left to be repaid on the average tracker mortgage stands at about €80,000, though tracker customers who encountered financial difficulties and have higher balances will face bigger repayments. The latest increase is the sixth hike since July, raising the ECB’s main refinancing rate that sets mortgage repayments for borrowers, from zero to 3.5 per cent. Instability in the banking sector meant “the jury is still out” on the number and scale of further rate increases, he said, but he still encouraged people to check options to fix because rates could remain high in the long term given the risk of “longer term higher inflation.” “We are not waning on our commitment to fight inflation and we are determined to return inflation back to 2 per cent in the medium term – that should not be doubted.” On his St Patrick’s Day visit to the US, Taoiseach Leo Varadkar said the latest rate increase was “not a surprise” but he was “very conscious” that mortgage holders faced a further increase in repayments and this was “unwelcome”.

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Image courtesy of "Independent.ie"

ECB hikes rates for sixth time pushing up tracker cost by €1650 a year (Independent.ie)

THE European Central Bank announcement of a sixth interest rate rise since last summer is to cost those sticking with their tracker mortgages thousands of ...

He said one is to get a fixed-rate offer letter from their current lender to secure a fixed rate. The changes will push the interest on a three-year fixed rate mortgage with a 90pc loan to value to 6.6pc and a five-year fixed rate at the same loan to value to 6.45pc. The second thing is talk to a mortgage broker to see if they should stick with the tracker, take up the fixed rate offer, or fix with another lender. He based his calculations on Central Bank figures. “With ECB rates going to 3.5pc and if they stay there, then the cost of an average tracker will increase by €24,500 over a 15-year term, or €1,635 per year. Across the 244,000 tracker mortgage holders in Ireland, the total impact of the rises so far totals up to €6bn in additional repayments, Mr Coan said.

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Image courtesy of "Irish Mirror"

How much will Irish mortgage holders pay after ECB rate hike ... (Irish Mirror)

Mortgage holders in Ireland will face an additional cost blow over the coming months as the European Central Bank opted to hike their interest rates once ...

"In the grip of a cost of living crisis, it is now time to introduce targeted and temporary mortgage interest relief to cushion the blow of these rising interest costs – this relief could absorb a portion of these interest costs". "Mortgage-holders will be paying thousands of euros more in interest this year – households that are already struggling under the cost of living crisis," he said. "Others will see their interest rates increase in the coming period. He we on to say that those who are struggling with the cost of living crisis will now be hit with these extra costs. In response to this, Sinn Fein’s Pearse Doherty has urged the Government to introduce targeted mortgage interest relief to support people amid the current cost of living crisis. Mortgage holders in Ireland will face an additional cost blow over the coming months as the European Central Bank opted to hike their interest rates once again.

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Image courtesy of "TipperaryLive.ie"

Varadkar urges Irish banks to raise savings rates after ECB interest ... (TipperaryLive.ie)

The Taoiseach has called on Irish banks to increase savings rates in response to the latest interest rate hike across the eurozone. Leo Varadkar said the ...

The figure in January was 7.5% But one thing I would say, certainly to the banks, is that they can’t have it both ways.” He said: “There’s a huge amount of savings on deposit in Irish banks…

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Image courtesy of "Hackney Gazette"

Varadkar urges Irish banks to raise savings rates after ECB interest ... (Hackney Gazette)

Taoiseach Leo Varadkar said banks should not be increasing mortgage rates if they were not also going to increase savings rates.

The figure in January was 7.5% But one thing I would say, certainly to the banks, is that they can’t have it both ways.” He said: “There’s a huge amount of savings on deposit in Irish banks…

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Image courtesy of "PBS NewsHour"

European Central Bank backs big interest rate hike despite global ... (PBS NewsHour)

The ECB hiked rates by half a percentage point, underlining its determination to fight high inflation of 8.5 percent. While some foresaw a smaller increase ...

Its benchmarks affect the cost of credit across the economy, making more expensive to buy things or invest in new production. The ECB has been raising rates at an unprecedented pace to contain inflation fueled by higher energy prices tied to Russia’s war in Ukraine. European banks also observe international rules that raised the amount of ready cash they had to keep on hand to cover deposits. Analysts say the European banking system instituted wide-ranging safeguards after the global financial crisis that followed the collapse of U.S. All that hasn’t kept the U.S. “If the panic eases, the ECB is likely to resume tightening before long” with more increases. banks were exempt from that rule; Silicon Valley was one of them. Their message follows Silicon Valley Bank in the U.S. She did not commit either way, unlike her stance before Thursday’s meeting when she said a rate increase was “very likely.” [Silicon Valley Bank](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/economy/class-action-lawsuit-filed-against-silicon-valley-bank-parent-company) and others in the U.S. Since then, expectations shifted back toward a quarter-point. Bank shares recovered Thursday.

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Image courtesy of "The Independent"

Varadkar urges Irish banks to raise savings rates after ECB interest ... (The Independent)

Taoiseach Leo Varadkar said banks should not be increasing mortgage rates if they were not also going to increase savings rates.

He said: “There’s a huge amount of savings on deposit in Irish banks… But one thing I would say, certainly to the banks, is that they can’t have it both ways.” [Leo Varadkar](/topic/leo-varadkar) said the 0.5% rise announced by the European Central Bank (ECB) on Thursday was not unexpected, but acknowledged it was unwelcome for mortgage holders in Ireland.

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Image courtesy of "Reuters"

Dollar slips after ECB rate decision, Fed hike seen (Reuters)

The dollar fell and the euro rose on Thursday after the European Central Bank raised interest rates as planned despite market chaos in recent days, ...

NZ Dollar/Dollar The euro was up 0.38% to $1.0615 while the dollar index fell 0.258%. Dollar/Norway Sterling/Dollar Euro/Dollar It's a bit of an anchor, as policymakers should be at times like this," she said. Dollar/Swiss They would immediately have started speculating what are they hiding?" Dollar/Yen "If they didn't do anything, if there was no hike, people would have been more panicked. Higher rates on U.S. government debt than other countries has fortified the dollar, as has a relatively strong economy.

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Image courtesy of "Reuters"

Goldman Sachs cuts ECB rate hike forecast to 25bps in May (Reuters)

Goldman Sachs lowered its estimate for an interest rate hike by the European Central Bank (ECB) in May to 25 basis points after the central bank raised ...

lender's shares showed investors were still worried about cracks in the sector. Register for free to Reuters and know the full story March 17 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs lowered its estimate for an interest rate hike by the European Central Bank (ECB) in May to 25 basis points after the central bank raised rates to fight inflation amid calls to rein in policy tightening.

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Euro Latest: EUR/USD Pushes Higher on ECB Rate Hike Commentary (DailyFX)

The Euro is pushing higher against a range of currencies as a group of ECB policy makers observe that inflation remains too high and that the central bank ...

[USD](https://www.dailyfx.com/usd) prices may continue to fall. [DailyFX](https://www.dailyfx.com) provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets. [ Recommended by Nick CawleyHow to Trade EUR/USD](https://www.dailyfx.com/free-trading-guides#forecastschoices=HOW_TO_TRADE_EURUSD) The highest annual rates were recorded in Hungary (25.8%), Latvia (20.1%) and Czechia (18.4%). [EUR/USD MixedData provided by of clients are net long. What is your view on the EURO – bullish or bearish?? According to data compiler Eurostat, ‘The lowest annual rates were registered in Luxembourg (4.8%), Belgium (5.4%) and Spain (6.0%). [Swiss Franc](https://www.dailyfx.com/chf) 50 billion lending facility for Credit Suisse, according to an ECB sources report. A confirmed break above here opens the way to 1.0791, quickly followed by 1.0800. The latest Euro Area inflation data shows why the ECB is becoming more adamant that additional rate hikes are needed. (Our) Priority is to fight inflation. President Lagarde specifically said at the February meeting that the central bank would raise rates by 50bps.

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Image courtesy of "Irish Examiner"

Two ECB hawks call for more rate hikes despite banking turmoil (Irish Examiner)

The ECB raised interest rates by 50 basis points on Thursday and projected inflation would remain above its 2% target through 2025.

"Even the current events on the financial markets do not change my view that we need to continue," Mr Kazimir said in a blog post. ECB President Christine Lagarde said during her news conference on Thursday that the eurozone's central bank would have "a lot more ground to cover" in raising rates if its current forecasts held up. "I am very well aware of the delicacy of the situation ...

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Image courtesy of "Sky News"

European Central Bank sticks to its guns on interest rates despite ... (Sky News)

Banking shares come under further pressure after the ECB says it must prioritise the battle against inflation over financial market jitters for what rate ...

Matthew Ryan, head of market strategy at financial services firm Ebury, said: "The ECB stuck to its guns today in delivering a 50bp rate hike, despite the acute uncertainty in markets triggered by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the slump in European banking shares. At a news conference, ECB president Christine Lagarde added: "The [economic] projections that we have do not incorporate any of the most recent developments and certainly not the impact of the most recent financial tensions that we have observed on the markets. It highlighted the current "severe" market tensions as a potential risk to the eurozone economy as the pressure on banks could dampen the provision of credit. "The elevated level of uncertainty reinforces the importance of a data-dependent approach to the Governing Council's policy rate decisions, which will be determined by its assessment of the inflation outlook in light of the incoming economic and financial data, the dynamics of underlying inflation, and the strength of monetary policy transmission", the statement from the ECB said. Banking shares on the continent took another hit in response to the rate rises though the jitters later subsided as the market focused on the central bank's assurances that it was aware of the sensitivities surrounding its rate hikes. The European Central Bank (ECB) has maintained its fight against inflation and imposed a large set of interest rate hikes despite financial market turmoil.

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