Sudden stratospheric warming forecast

2023 - 2 - 10

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Image courtesy of "The Independent"

Snow not forecast yet but UK braced for sudden stratospheric warming (The Independent)

A predicted big freeze caused by a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event is still several days away for much of the UK, forecasts have suggested.

[Met Office](/topic/met-office) said: “[Saturday] will generally be dry but often cloudy throughout the day. It is a similar situation in the south west, although the mercury has been predicted to bottom out in Plymouth at around 5C into the mid week with similar highs to London expected. “[It will be] dry through Sunday and Monday, with some bright or sunny spells and mainly light winds, but maybe a little breezier later Monday.

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Image courtesy of "RTE.ie"

Will a 'sudden stratospheric warming' event bring snow and ice? (RTE.ie)

The weather event which is forecast to occur over the next week is seen as 'one of the most extreme of atmospheric phenomena'

"Global weather models can usually forecast, quite accurately, what is going to happen in the polar stratosphere one to two weeks in advance, so the upcoming event is highly likely. "It's not yet clear why some stratospheric warming events take weeks to impact the surface while others are felt days later, but it may be related to how the polar vortex changes around the onset of a warming event. "Where the jet stream crosses the Atlantic, it usually points towards Ireland and Britain, but sudden stratospheric warming can lead it to shift towards the equator. Please review their details and accept them to load the content. The average wind direction around the pole may also reverse, in which case a "sudden stratospheric warming" event has occurred. We are likely to be hearing a lot about a weather phenomenon called a 'sudden stratospheric warming' event that is forecast to take place over the next week.

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Image courtesy of "The Irish Times"

Ireland could see heavy snow and cold in coming weeks due to ... (The Irish Times)

Forecasters have said there is a major Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event forecast to occur over the next week. An SSW is a weather phenomenon where the ...

“Therefore, for now, it is unresolved how the upcoming SSW event will affect the weather patterns over north-western Europe. “Every SSW event is different and not all of them disrupt the tropospheric patterns below. Major SSW events increase the likelihood for colder than average weather over northern and north-western Europe for several weeks to a few months after the event, but do not guarantee it.

Heavy snow warning: ELEVEN INCHES to blanket parts of Britain as ... (GB News)

Heavy snow and sub-zero temperatures similar to the Beast from the East are set to blast Britain.

How to watch GB News: We're live on TV on Virgin channel 604, Freesat 216, Sky 512, Freeview 236, YouView 236. -

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Image courtesy of "Irish Examiner"

Q&A: What is a Sudden Stratospheric Warning and how will it affect ... (Irish Examiner)

Irish weather experts and forecasters have been put on high alert for the possibility of snow in the next few weeks, thanks to models showing an increased ...

Mr Moore added: "Therefore, for now, it is unresolved how the upcoming SSW event will affect the weather patterns over north-western Europe. "Forecasting how a SSW event imprints on the tropospheric weather patterns below is much more difficult to resolve, especially prior to the SSW event itself." The UK's Met Office has said there is now "an over 80% chance of a major SSW occurring" across the UK and Ireland in the next few weeks.

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Image courtesy of "Somerset Live"

Met Office reveals when weather event could bring heavy snow to ... (Somerset Live)

A Sudden Stratospheric Warming event in February 2018 was responsible for the 'Beast from the East'

Some of these frontal systems perhaps spreading further to the southeast, although much of the south and southeast will likely be relatively drier. Tuesday will likely be dry for most across the UK, with a chance of sunshine particularly in the northwest. Temperatures generally mild or rather mild, although with a chance of cold nights in the south, especially earlier in the period. Tonight: Remaining rather cloudy overnight with a few spots of light rain and drizzle in the west. Cloud increasing from the west with patchy light rain and drizzle arriving this afternoon, although staying largely dry in the east. Although the impact will become clearer nearer the time, any effect on UK weather is most likely to occur in late February and March.” Further into the period a transition away from high pressure in the south allows for more unsettled conditions to become widespread across the UK at times. The settled weather remaining for many into the end of the week, with some bands of cloud and rain possibly progressing into the north and northwest at times. This blocking high pressure can lead to cold, dry weather in the north of Europe, including the UK, with mild, wet and windy conditions more likely for southern areas of the continent. The forecaster wrote: "A major SSW often makes the jet stream meander more, which can lead to a large area of blocking high pressure over northern Europe, including the UK. For example, the SSW in January 2019 had no significant impact for the UK weather. It refers to an area between 10km to 50km above the earth's surface and its effects are not usually felt until several weeks later,

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Image courtesy of "Leicestershire Live"

Met Office verdict on Beast from East and Leicester weekend forecast (Leicestershire Live)

Weather experts give opinion on speculation as chances grow of a 'sudden stratospheric warming' event.

Some of these frontal systems perhaps spreading further to the southeast, although much of the south and southeast will likely be relatively drier. Towards the end of the period, changeable conditions are likely to persist, bringing periods of cloud, rain, and strong winds, alongside some more settled conditions. However, usually a few weeks later, we can start to see knock-on effects on the jet stream, which in turn effects our weather lower down (in the troposphere). Dry conditions are likely for much of the UK on Wednesday, with sunny spells and variable cloud coverage. Into the weekend, much of central, southern and eastern England and Wales are likely to remain dry, while some frontal systems could progress from the north and west. And it adds: “That could bring about a change from mild late-winter conditions to colder weather in the early meteorological spring,” But the same conditions in 2019 and January just gone didn’t have the same impact. Monday will see it getting a bit colder with a low of 0C. On Saturday February 11 according to BBC weather in the daytime it will get as high as 11C with a low of 3C at night. You may be asking why it is called a warming then, if it lead to cold conditions? The Met Office has given its verdict on the Beast from the East speculation as fears grow of a ‘sudden stratospheric warming’ (SSW) incident. Into March we are also likely to see

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