Weather forecasting

2023 - 1 - 14

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Image courtesy of "Cork Beo"

Cork Weather: Met Eireann forecasts short but sharp freeze from ... (Cork Beo)

We've had the high winds and torrential rain - now comes the ice, frost, and very chilly temperatures as parts of Cork could see as much as a 10C fall in ...

Highest temperatures of 1 to 5 degrees in light to moderate breezes, fresher in the southwest. After another cold day and night on Wednesday, rain and milder conditions will move in from the west. Tuesday: A cold day with sunshine and a good deal of dry weather though showers will continue to mainly affect northern and Atlantic coasts. Highest temperatures of 3 to 7 degrees in mostly moderate west to northwest winds. Temperatures will fall between 2 to 5 degrees as the rain clears, in moderate to fresh southwest to west winds. Fresh and gusty westerly winds will gradually ease in most areas through the night but will remain strong in the southwest. Sunday night: Becoming largely dry overnight with just a few showers, mainly on northern and Atlantic coasts but turning very cold as temperatures widely fall to -3 or -4 degrees. Highest afternoon temperatures of just 5 to 7 degrees but feeling even colder due to the wind chill factor. A clearance to scattered showers will follow in from the west later as the rain clears eastwards. Fresh and gusty westerly winds will also ease for a time in the afternoon before backing southwesterly and freshening again towards the evening. Showery outbreaks of rain will spread from the west later in the afternoon and in the evening. Breezy this morning with scattered showers but dying out through the morning and becoming largely dry and sunny for a time.

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Image courtesy of "Westmeath Examiner"

Predicting the weather…'We don't have a magic 8 ball' | Westmeath ... (Westmeath Examiner)

Paul Downes grew up two miles outside Mullingar on the family stud farm and has always had an interest in weather, particularly extreme weather; ...

“While it might seem cool to be at the heart of the forecast in Met Éireann’s HQ, there is also a lot of responsibility, so many organisations now trigger their action plans off the status of a warning, and that can have a big impact on society. “There is evidence of a more disturbed weather pattern and that poses a great uncertainty for the further. As part of Paul’s job, he has to deliver the general forecast in time slots before the 8am news and the 6pm news on RTÉ One, as well as the sea area forecast after the 6am news, and both of the sea area and the general forecast before the midnight news. Inevitably some will end up in the bin and then you need to decide on the best one or an combination of multiple outcomes to make a forecast. So much of our job is pattern recognition, because while the computer models are vastly improved, the number of observation stations around the world are nothing close to the number of data points in a computer model, so a lot of assumptions are made and models aren’t always right. “I interviewed for the forecast meteorologist position in 2019 and was promoted in spring of 2020, less than a month before the Covid-19 lockdown hit. From that first trip, I made contacts and returned following my final year in the summer of 2004 to the College of DuPage in Chicago. And I did struggle at times, but the mentality was different now that I was following my passion, and the As followed, occasionally at the start but then more frequently as my confidence grew. “It was from one of those forums in May of 2003 that I got the chance to go storm chasing. While I learned a great deal, my final year project was based on weather-related products and beyond that I struggled in the job market and honestly the motivation was lacking. “I did it to face another fear – anxiety can be major roadblock at times and I really became ill at the thoughts of performing or even presenting in college or at work meetings. He also loves to sing and was part of the Irish Youth Choir, the Cathedral Choristers, Mullingar Coral Society, Cathedral Choir and the Mullingar Gospel Choir, and has performed in four different countries and languages.

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Image courtesy of "Thai PBS World"

Cold weather forecast on Sunday for most of Thailand (Thai PBS World)

Heavy rain, due to the north-easterly monsoon looming over the Gulf of Thailand and the south, is forecast for southern provinces and this may cause flash ...

Rough seas and strong winds are forecast in the Gulf, with 2-metre waves and even rougher seas in stormy areas. In the northeast, the mercury is forecast to fall by 4-6oC, whereas, in the northern, eastern and central regions, including Bangkok and its suburbs, temperatures are expected to drop by 2-4oC. Cold weather forecast on Sunday for most of Thailand

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Image courtesy of "The New York Times"

NOAA Program Gathers Data Far Above the Pacific to Forecast ... (The New York Times)

A Times reporter and photographer rode along with a team gathering data on the colossal atmospheric rivers that have drenched the state.

Scientists have used the same computer model to generate one forecast that incorporates the data and another that does not, then compared both of them with a storm’s real-world effects. The data is transmitted to a global repository that feeds weather forecasts around the globe. By scouring data on the mistakes a model had made in the past, A.I. The NOAA Gulfstream, nicknamed “Gonzo,” is mostly kitted out for science, with a few concessions to the needs of crews spending long hours in close quarters. And flying at an altitude of 41,000 feet to 45,000 feet would let the plane sample both the storm itself and the jet stream, whose powerful winds help shape the system’s course. Wilson, a scientist at Scripps and AR Recon’s mission director for the past week. “Now we’re learning the lesson, sadly, that we really should aim to have full coverage” of the rainy season, he said. Martin Ralph, a Scripps scientist who helps lead AR Recon, acknowledged that although the program got an early start this winter, it didn’t have the staff, funding and aircraft availability to collect data during the holiday period. “Getting better at being able to forecast those, and getting the detail down to the watershed scale, is really where we want to get to.” But it ended up stalling and dumping buckets of rain over a stretch of the region. In December, the Gulfstream IV had to be sent to St. This winter, AR Recon started flying missions earlier than ever, in November, to sample more of the early-season storms that have caused devastating flooding on the Pacific Coast in recent years.

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